20VC: How LPs Allocate to Venture in 2026: What They Want, What...
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC)Full Title
20VC: How LPs Allocate to Venture in 2026: What They Want, What They Do Not Want | Why Fund Multiple Does Not Matter Without a Timeline | Why Velocity of Cashback is the Most Important Thing with David Morehead, CIO @ Baylor
Summary
David Morehead, CIO of Baylor University's endowment, discusses how LPs allocate capital to venture and private markets, emphasizing the importance of velocity of capital over pure returns.
The conversation highlights Baylor's investment philosophy, focusing on risk-adjusted returns, direct GP relationships, and a disciplined approach to market volatility.
Key Points
- Baylor's endowment is increasingly crucial for the university's financial health due to declining tuition revenue, driving a focus on generating distributions.
- The institution prioritizes the velocity of capital and time alongside returns, meaning they value how quickly capital is returned and compounded.
- Baylor seeks to optimize its risk-return profile by engaging directly with GPs to tailor fund strategies, rather than relying solely on commingled funds.
- The endowment maintains a balance between public and private investments, currently around 45% private, with a strategy to first nail down the private side to manage liquidity.
- Private investments are focused on venture capital, expansion equity, and buyouts, divesting from real assets that do not promise excess returns.
- Morehead expresses skepticism about extended fund lengths in venture capital, arguing that shorter fund cycles with quicker capital deployment and return lead to better compounding for LPs.
- The CIO believes the pure returns from venture may not always justify the long time horizons and capital lock-up, especially compared to growth equity with faster cycles.
- Baylor utilizes a methodical, mechanical approach to investing during market downturns, allocating capital in increments as assets become cheaper to mitigate emotional decision-making.
- The endowment views its venture portfolio as a learning mechanism for understanding AI penetration and adoption cycles, but primarily learns from public market managers.
- Baylor believes public markets are more rational than private markets due to the sheer volume of decision-makers involved, even if both can exhibit irrationality.
- Valuations of private assets are scrutinized, with a preference for conservative marks to ensure psychological alignment with market realities.
- The CIO emphasizes that while venture capital is important for future growth, the focus on velocity of cash and compounding means it must deliver superior returns to justify its inclusion.
- A significant allocation to growth equity is favored due to its attractive return timeline and fewer zero outcomes compared to early-stage VC.
- Morehead highlights the importance of human behavior and decision-making in investment analysis, particularly when assessing market sentiment and company adoption of new technologies.
- The endowment's approach to managing public listings of private companies is flexible, depending on the company's performance and position size.
- Baylor prioritizes building a stable, long-term investment team by hiring from undergraduate ranks, despite the initial investment required for development.
- The CIO views the incentive structure for LPs as not broken, but requiring individuals to be mission-driven to achieve institutional goals.
- Concerns are raised about AI's impact on human thinking and critical reasoning skills, rather than its direct impact on education systems.
- The endowment focuses on its own growth and performance rather than directly comparing itself to other institutions, though relative performance is monitored.
- Baylor is strategically increasing its focus on biotech due to its potential for significant impact and lower correlation to market fluctuations.
- The growth phase from $1 billion to $5 billion in endowment size presents unique challenges in scaling teams and systems while maintaining creativity.
- The importance of a permit for data center sites is highlighted, driven by increasing local opposition to new developments, making permitted sites more valuable.
- Private credit is viewed as overhyped due to its risk-reward profile, which is seen as having equity-like downside risk without comparable equity upside.
- Brown University's endowment is highly respected for its long-term, courageous investment decisions and consistent performance.
- Benchmark is named as a venture fund that Baylor would most like to be invested in, acknowledging its strong track record.
Conclusion
LPs prioritize the velocity of capital and time alongside returns, emphasizing how quickly capital is deployed and returned to enable compounding.
Direct engagement with GPs allows LPs to optimize risk-return profiles and tailor investment strategies, moving beyond the limitations of commingled funds.
A disciplined, methodical approach to market volatility and a focus on long-term team stability are crucial for successful endowment management.
Discussion Topics
- What are the most critical factors LPs consider when allocating to venture capital in today's market?
- How can GPs better align their fund structures and incentives with the long-term goals of LPs, particularly regarding capital velocity?
- In an era of increasing AI integration, how should LPs and GPs adapt their investment strategies and risk management approaches?
Key Terms
- LP (Limited Partner)
- An investor who contributes capital to a fund but does not actively manage it.
- GP (General Partner)
- The entity that manages a fund, makes investment decisions, and is responsible for its operations.
- Endowment
- A fund dedicated to a specific purpose, often for a non-profit institution like a university.
- Velocity of Capital
- A measure of how quickly capital is deployed and returned, indicating efficiency and compounding potential.
- Convexity
- An investment characteristic that offers disproportionately large gains relative to losses, often associated with options or certain types of venture capital.
- Commingled Funds
- Investment funds where multiple investors pool their capital, managed by a single GP.
- Theta
- In options trading, the rate at which an option loses value over time due to its expiration date approaching.
- Denominator Effect
- A phenomenon where a decline in the value of public assets increases the percentage allocation to illiquid private assets within a portfolio.
- J Curve
- A pattern of investment performance where initial losses are followed by eventual gains, commonly seen in private equity and venture capital.
- Venture Capital (VC)
- Investment in startups and small businesses with perceived long-term growth potential, typically in early stages.
- Growth Equity
- Investment in more mature companies that are seeking capital to expand or restructure operations, often before an IPO.
- Buyout
- The acquisition of a company by another company or a group of investors, often using significant debt financing.
- Private Credit
- Debt financing provided by non-bank institutions to companies, often characterized by higher interest rates and tailored terms.
- Vintage Year
- The year in which a private equity or venture capital fund begins investing its capital.
- Allocation Methodology
- The systematic process by which an investor decides how to distribute capital across different asset classes and strategies.
Timeline
David Morehead provides an overview of Baylor University's endowment and its strategic focus on investment due to declining tuition revenue.
The hosts debate whether it is possible for Baylor to achieve both downside protection and upside gains in its investment strategy.
Morehead explains the concept of "convexity" in investments and how Baylor seeks to achieve it through direct GP relationships.
David Morehead details Baylor's portfolio construction, highlighting the roughly equal split between public and private investments and the rationale behind prioritizing private allocations first.
The discussion centers on the liquidity profile requirements for private investments and the target allocation range for privates within Baylor's portfolio.
Morehead elaborates on the rationale for focusing on venture capital, expansion equity, and buyouts within the private book, prioritizing excess returns for the university.
The conversation shifts to how Baylor approaches investing in well-established venture capital firms versus emerging startups.
Morehead expresses perplexity regarding the extended fund lengths in venture capital and their potential misalignment with GP incentives.
A blunt question is posed to Morehead about why Baylor would invest in venture capital at all, given the emphasis on velocity of cash and compounding.
The discussion touches on event-driven capital and specific successful investments like Anthropic, contrasting them with hypothetical investments like SpaceX.
The question of how Baylor manages positions that go public, whether through active management or immediate liquidation, is explored.
Morehead recounts an instance where his analytical approach to software market downturns was compared to Charlie Munger's style.
The discussion delves into Morehead's process for analyzing market downturns, focusing on human behavior and decision-making.
The host questions Morehead's active involvement in market analysis and investment decisions beyond delegating to managers.
The role of venture capital as a "learning academy" for LPs and the perceived irrationality of public markets are discussed.
Morehead addresses the trustworthiness of private manager valuations and Baylor's approach to ensuring conservative marks.
The impact of venture-backed companies becoming dominant in the global economy on Baylor's investment strategy is considered.
The rationale behind favoring growth equity within the private allocation is explained by Morehead.
The conversation explores the concept of "mulligan vintages" in venture capital and private equity and how Baylor manages them.
Morehead outlines the annual liquidity requirements for Baylor's endowment, both objective (distributions) and subjective (opportunistic capital).
Morehead reflects on allocation mistakes, emphasizing the lesson of never being "all in" and the importance of methodical allocation during market downturns.
The practical implementation of methodical allocation into volatile markets is described.
The host asks about the strategy for "catching a falling knife" and the decision-making process involved.
The difficulty of determining whether to stick with a declining investment or sell is discussed, with the role of managers highlighted.
Morehead addresses concerns about portfolio concentration and its impact on Baylor's diversified holdings.
The CIO discusses what he views as "nuts" or unconventional practices among his endowment CIO peers.
Baylor's unique strategy of hiring primarily from undergraduate ranks for its investment team is explained.
Morehead is asked whether the incentive structure for endowment fund investors (LPs) is broken.
The potential impact of AI on human thinking, rather than directly on education, is expressed as a concern.
The conversation turns to the endowment fund tax and how it affects larger institutions.
Morehead discusses whether Baylor engages in comparative analysis with other endowments or focuses solely on its own objectives.
The discussion shifts to position sizing within private investments and how Baylor determines the optimal allocation for each company.
The question of whether managers should stick to their original strategy or adapt to market changes is debated.
Morehead aligns with the idea that managers should communicate significant strategy shifts to LPs beforehand.
The notion of committing to three funds to assess manager quality is questioned.
Morehead discusses what he would do differently if Baylor had unlimited resources and the balance sheet of a larger institution.
The debate on whether large venture platforms are preferable to smaller funds is explored.
The pushback on data center construction due to environmental concerns and permitting issues is discussed.
The challenges of obtaining permits for data centers due to local opposition are detailed.
Morehead shares his bearish view on Europe due to its structural issues and slow adoption of AI.
A rapid-fire round of questions covers changes in investment thinking, overhyped asset classes, and respected endowment funds.
Morehead identifies biotech as an asset class he is increasingly excited about, alongside the build-out of his team and office.
Morehead expresses gratitude for the conversation and highlights the ongoing efforts at Baylor to manage the endowment.
Episode Details
- Podcast
- The Twenty Minute VC (20VC)
- Episode
- 20VC: How LPs Allocate to Venture in 2026: What They Want, What They Do Not Want | Why Fund Multiple Does Not Matter Without a Timeline | Why Velocity of Cashback is the Most Important Thing with David Morehead, CIO @ Baylor
- Official Link
- https://www.thetwentyminutevc.com/
- Published
- September 14, 2026