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The 80-Year Bet: Why Naveen Rao Is Rebuilding the Computer from...

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Full Title

The 80-Year Bet: Why Naveen Rao Is Rebuilding the Computer from Scratch

Summary

Naveen Rao discusses his new venture, Unconventional AI, which aims to revolutionize computing by moving away from the 80-year-old digital architecture towards analog systems purpose-built for intelligence.

He argues that this shift is necessary to overcome energy constraints and unlock the full potential of AI, drawing parallels to the efficiency and dynamic nature of biological brains.

Key Points

  • The current digital computing paradigm, established in the 1940s, is inefficient for modern AI tasks and is reaching its energy limits, necessitating a fundamental architectural change.
  • Analog computing, which leverages the physics of a medium to perform computations, offers inherent efficiency advantages over digital computing, especially for tasks that are dynamic and "fuzzier," like those involving intelligence.
  • Biological brains, which are highly efficient and dynamic, serve as inspiration for building more intelligent and energy-efficient AI systems, as they implement neural network dynamics physically without significant abstraction.
  • The global energy crisis, exacerbated by the increasing demands of data centers, highlights the urgency of developing more power-efficient computing solutions.
  • While digital computers excel at precise numerical calculations and simulations, analog computers are better suited for tasks that mimic natural processes and involve continuous dynamics, making them ideal for certain AI workloads.
  • Unconventional AI is developing novel silicon-based circuits to recapitulate neural network behaviors, aiming to create an "intelligent substrate" that is more analogous to biological intelligence.
  • The company views TSMC as a crucial manufacturing partner and considers NVIDIA and Google as players in the AI application space, while acknowledging their internal development efforts.
  • The pursuit of analog computing for AI is seen as a necessary "big swing" to push the boundaries of what's possible, with the ultimate goal of making AI ubiquitous and enhancing human understanding and capabilities.
  • Rao believes that AI is an evolution of humanity, enabling deeper collaboration and understanding, and is optimistic about its positive potential, contrary to "AI doomer" sentiments.
  • He emphasizes the importance of building computing systems that understand causality, suggesting that dynamic, physics-based computations are a better foundation for true intelligence than purely numerical ones.
  • The success of Unconventional AI relies on combining diverse expertise, including theoretical neuroscience, dynamical systems, analog circuit design, and AI algorithm mapping, fostering a culture of high agency and embracing ambitious, "crazy" ideas.

Conclusion

The current digital computing paradigm is reaching its limits, particularly in terms of energy efficiency, necessitating a shift towards analog computing tailored for AI and intelligence.

By emulating the efficiency and dynamic nature of biological brains, analog systems offer a path to overcome energy constraints and unlock new levels of AI capability.

Unconventional AI is embarking on an ambitious "80-year bet" to fundamentally rebuild computing for the future, emphasizing innovation and a willingness to pursue unconventional ideas.

Discussion Topics

  • Given the energy constraints of current digital computing, what are the most promising avenues for developing more sustainable AI hardware?
  • How can we better leverage the insights from biological intelligence to design more efficient and capable AI systems?
  • What are the key challenges and opportunities in transitioning from a predominantly digital computing paradigm to one that embraces analog or hybrid approaches for AI?

Key Terms

Analog Computing
A type of computation that uses continuous physical phenomena, like electrical voltage or current, to model the problem being solved.
Digital Computing
A type of computation that uses discrete values, typically represented by binary digits (bits), to perform calculations.
NeurIPS
A major annual conference on artificial intelligence and computational neuroscience.
First Principles
A fundamental approach to problem-solving that breaks down a complex issue into its most basic elements.
Full Stack Engineering
A software development approach that involves working on all layers of a system, from the user interface to the database and server.
Thermodynamics of the Brain
The study of energy transfer and transformations within the brain, relating to its metabolic processes and computational activity.
Stochastic Machine
A machine or system that involves randomness or probability in its operations or outcomes.
Causality
The relationship between cause and effect.
Transformer
A neural network architecture widely used in natural language processing and other AI tasks, known for its attention mechanism.
Diffusion Models
A class of generative models in machine learning that learn to create data by reversing a diffusion process.
Energy-Based Models
Models that define a probability distribution using an energy function, often used in machine learning for tasks like image generation and anomaly detection.
Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE)
An equation that relates a function with its derivatives.
GPU (Graphics Processing Unit)
A specialized electronic circuit designed to rapidly manipulate and alter memory to accelerate the creation of images for display in a frame buffer.
TPU (Tensor Processing Unit)
Google's custom ASIC (application-specific integrated circuit) designed to accelerate machine learning workloads.
AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)
A hypothetical type of artificial intelligence that possesses the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to solve any problem that a human being can.

Timeline

00:01:03

Naveen Rao believes the current computing architecture is flawed and energy-inefficient for AI.

00:06:29

Analog computers are inherently more efficient by using physical phenomena for computation, unlike digital computers which use numerical approximations.

00:07:23

Analog computers can take various forms, including physical models like wind tunnels, and are being developed using silicon circuits to mimic neural networks.

00:08:27

Intelligence, being a stochastic and distributed process, is a better fit for analog systems than the deterministic nature of traditional digital computing.

00:10:42

Data centers consume a significant portion of the US energy grid, leading to concerns about brownouts and the need for more efficient computing.

00:12:18

Analog computing is suitable for workloads expressed as dynamical systems, where time is an intrinsic element, differentiating it from purely numerical computation.

00:13:08

Biological brains are exceptionally good at integrating varied inputs and formulating models with high accuracy, a capability Unconventional AI aims to replicate.

00:14:37

Current AI models like transformers are well-suited for GPUs but may not be the most natural or efficient substrate for intelligence compared to dynamic systems.

00:16:25

Pursuing dynamic, causal, and time-evolving computational bases is seen as a more promising path towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).

00:18:36

Unconventional AI aims to find an analogous paradigm to intelligence within five years and build scalable manufacturing, with TSMC identified as a key partner.

00:20:26

Building hardware, while challenging, offers a unique and rewarding "dopamine hit" distinct from software development.

00:22:28

Confidence in Unconventional AI's success stems from biological examples, decades of academic research, and the foundational theory behind their approach.

00:23:29

Rao embraces being called "crazy" for his ambitious venture, seeing it as necessary for exploration and innovation.

00:24:06

The company is seeking individuals with expertise in AI systems, algorithm-to-substrate mapping, energy-based and flow models, and analog circuit design.

00:26:17

Early career experience in diverse areas, including hardware and software, is valuable for developing a broad understanding of the technology stack.

00:27:00

Unconventional AI fosters a culture of open-ended exploration and encourages high agency among its team members to tackle hard problems.

00:28:39

The opportunity to create something generationally impactful is a primary motivator for pursuing such ambitious goals.

Episode Details

Podcast
a16z Podcast
Episode
The 80-Year Bet: Why Naveen Rao Is Rebuilding the Computer from Scratch
Published
December 8, 2025