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20VC: Cohere Founder on How Cohere Compete with OpenAI and Anthropic...

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC)

Full Title

20VC: Cohere Founder on How Cohere Compete with OpenAI and Anthropic $BNs | Why Counties Should Fund Their Own Models & the Need for Model Sovereignty | How Sam Altman Has Done a Disservice to AI with Nick Frosst

Summary

The episode features Nick Frosst of Cohere discussing the company's enterprise-focused approach to LLMs and how they compete with larger players like OpenAI and Anthropic. Key topics include the importance of enterprise-specific training data, the debate around scaling laws, the practical applications of LLMs in business, and the evolving landscape of AI talent and regulation.

Key Points

  • Nick Frosst believes Sam Altman's predictions about AGI and existential threats from AI have been disingenuous and a disservice to the technology's potential.
  • Cohere differentiates itself by focusing exclusively on enterprise applications, training models for specific business tool usage and data integration rather than general conversational abilities.
  • The development of LLMs still relies on a combination of compute, algorithms, and data, with high-quality data remaining a critical bottleneck, even with the advancements in synthetic data generation.
  • Frosst is skeptical of the overemphasis on scaling laws, suggesting that simply throwing more compute at problems doesn't guarantee exponential progress, citing perceived regressions in models like GPT-5 compared to GPT-4.
  • The value of LLMs is primarily seen in augmenting enterprise workflows by automating tedious tasks, allowing humans to focus on creative and strategic aspects of their jobs.
  • While benchmarks exist, Frosst believes they don't always reflect real-world utility or customer needs, emphasizing practical application and ease of use over theoretical performance.
  • The AI talent war is intense, with significant compensation for researchers, but Frosst notes the hype can sometimes overshadow the actual work and impact of AI technologies.
  • Frosst views the "hype around AGI" and imminent existential threats as the most damaging and confusing rhetoric in AI, diverting attention from more immediate concerns like labor displacement and income inequality.
  • Cohere aims for a "middle ground" between open and closed AI models by releasing weights for non-commercial use, balancing community engagement with business sustainability.
  • The future of AI is seen as increasingly language-driven, moving beyond traditional interfaces to more natural, conversational interactions with computers.
  • Governments funding sovereign AI models is viewed as a form of essential infrastructure development, similar to power plants, to empower national economies and ensure cultural relevance.
  • The value of work is often determined by societal demand and the difficulty of acquiring necessary skills, leading to pay disparities even for challenging but less impactful roles.
  • Cohere's business strategy focuses on enterprise ROI, efficiency, and building a "generational company" rather than chasing consumer hype or broad AGI promises.
  • Geopolitical factors, particularly concerns about US tech dominance, are driving interest in non-American AI companies like Cohere.
  • Frosst believes the "skill of prompting" will become less relevant as models become more intuitive, but understanding how language models work will remain crucial.
  • The rapid pace of AI development and the underlying Transformer architecture's longevity suggest both innovation and a degree of underlying continuity in the field.

Conclusion

The AI industry is rapidly evolving, with a growing emphasis on practical enterprise applications over speculative AGI discussions.

Companies like Cohere are carving out a niche by focusing on specific business needs and efficient model development, differentiating themselves from consumer-focused giants.

The future of AI will likely involve more natural language interaction and a redefinition of work, necessitating careful consideration of societal impacts and policy.

Discussion Topics

  • How can AI companies like Cohere effectively compete against larger, more established players like OpenAI and Anthropic in the enterprise LLM market?
  • What are the most significant ethical considerations and societal impacts of widespread AI adoption in the workforce, and how can they be proactively addressed?
  • What role should governments play in funding and regulating AI development to foster innovation while ensuring responsible deployment and national sovereignty?

Key Terms

LLM
Large Language Model - A type of artificial intelligence that can understand and generate human-like text.
AGI
Artificial General Intelligence - A hypothetical type of AI that possesses the ability to understand or learn any intellectual task that a human being can.
Transformer Architecture
A deep learning model architecture that uses self-attention mechanisms, particularly effective for processing sequential data like text.
Scaling Laws
In AI, the observation that model performance often improves predictably with increased data, model size, and compute.
Synthetic Data
Artificially generated data that mimics the characteristics of real-world data, used for training AI models.
SFT Data
Supervised Fine-Tuning data, used to adapt pre-trained models to specific tasks or styles through examples.
RLHF
Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback - A technique to train AI models to align with human preferences and values.
Compute
The processing power and resources required to train and run AI models.
Inference
The process of using a trained AI model to make predictions or generate outputs.
Founder Ritual
A personal or team tradition established by founders, often to mark significant milestones like funding rounds.

Timeline

00:00:06

Nick Frosst criticizes Sam Altman's public statements on AGI and existential threats as disingenuous.

00:06:10

Discussion on Google's early work on the Transformer architecture and its subsequent commercialization outside Google.

00:07:13

Nick Frosst explains Cohere's focus on enterprise LLMs and how it differs from generalized models.

00:08:05

The impact of an enterprise focus on model training and data selection for Cohere.

00:08:59

Data as a bottleneck in LLM development, despite the utility of synthetic data.

00:09:28

Analysis of the three key pillars of AI development: compute, algorithms, and data, and their respective bottlenecks.

00:10:33

Debate on whether scaling laws continue to drive exponential progress in LLMs.

00:11:39

Nick Frosst's perspective on the definition and current state of AGI.

00:13:33

Discussion on why the world still emphasizes scaling laws when Frosst believes they might be plateauing.

00:13:57

Inquiry into how LLMs capture value in the application layer and whether they will remain commodity layers or extend further.

00:14:53

The spectrum of AI model specialization, from highly specific tasks to general-purpose models.

00:17:09

Frosst's blunt assessment of benchmarks and their reflection of AI model utility.

00:17:47

The validity and potential "bullshit" factor of current AI benchmarks.

00:19:35

Discussion on the pace of model evolution versus chip progression and potential misalignment.

01:00:19

Nick Frosst's bold prediction for LLMs in 2026 regarding expense filing.

01:00:55

If not Cohere, which AI company would Frosst bet his career on.

01:02:15

Frosst identifies curiosity and contrarianism as traits that are both assets and hindrances.

01:03:14

Frosst reflects on being wrong about technological optimism and the data efficiency of reinforcement learning.

01:03:40

Final reflections on the nature of conversation and the work of AI leaders.

01:04:51

Discussion on the importance of telling Cohere's story publicly compared to product development.

01:05:19

The concept of "model sovereignty" and its geographical implications.

01:05:40

The influence of geopolitics on customer decisions regarding AI model sovereignty.

01:07:39

Frosst's founder ritual after closing funding rounds.

01:08:19

The worst-case scenario for AI regulation and its potential impact.

01:09:41

Frosst's view on China's AI model capabilities and potential to surpass US models.

01:00:19

Frosst's bold prediction for LLMs in 2026.

01:00:55

If not Cohere, which AI company would Frosst bet his career on.

01:02:15

Frosst identifies curiosity and contrarianism as traits that are both assets and hindrances.

01:03:14

Frosst reflects on being wrong about technological optimism and the data efficiency of reinforcement learning.

01:03:40

Final reflections on the nature of conversation and the work of AI leaders.

01:04:51

Discussion on the importance of telling Cohere's story publicly compared to product development.

01:05:19

The concept of "model sovereignty" and its geographical implications.

01:05:40

The influence of geopolitics on customer decisions regarding AI model sovereignty.

01:07:39

Frosst's founder ritual after closing funding rounds.

01:08:19

The worst-case scenario for AI regulation and its potential impact.

01:09:41

Frosst's view on China's AI model capabilities and potential to surpass US models.

Episode Details

Podcast
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC)
Episode
20VC: Cohere Founder on How Cohere Compete with OpenAI and Anthropic $BNs | Why Counties Should Fund Their Own Models & the Need for Model Sovereignty | How Sam Altman Has Done a Disservice to AI with Nick Frosst
Published
September 1, 2025